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Premier League England

21.02.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Brentford - Brighton

England Football

Brentford

0 : 2

Finished

Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Brighton February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.63 / 2 3.50
1X2 market: Brentford 46.7% / X 26.2% / Brighton 27.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 46.6%

X 26.2%

2 27.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 54.5%

Under 2.5 45.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Brentford - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.51 market consensus · line only

X 3.64 market consensus · line only

1 2.04 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.79 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.30 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.35 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.15 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.22 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.07 48.3%
X	3.71 27.0%
	3.61 27.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.97 50.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.09 47.9%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.65 27.4%
	3.55 28.2%	3.45 29.0%	3.64 27.5%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.25 44.4%	2.27 44.1%	2.18 45.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.16 46.3%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.64 61.0%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.73 57.8%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.25 80.0%

Match center

Brentford

D W W L L

12.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 1:1 Arsenal

07.02 17:30 UTC Premier League

Brentford 3:2 Nyukasl

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 1:0 Aston Villa

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:2 Nottingem Forest

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:2 Chelsea

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Brighton

L L D L D

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Aston Villa

08.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Kristal Pelas

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:1 Everton

24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:2 Fulham

19.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:1 Bournemouth

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Brighton

Brentford

2 matches total

Brighton

Brentford: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Brighton: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Brentford 4:2 (19.04 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (4:2, 19.04 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 5

Match history

22.11 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Brentford

1:2

Brighton

19.04 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Brentford

4:2

Brighton