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Premier League
Premier League England
29.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Burnley

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
3 : 1
Finished
Burnley
Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Burnley November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.43 / 2 6.47
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 63.7% / X 21.6% / Burnley 14.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 63.7%
X 21.6%
2 14.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 53.2%
Under 2.5 46.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.48 market consensus · line only
X 4.43 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.52 65.8%
X 4.47 22.4%
6.64 15.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.45 22.5% 4.68 21.4% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.35 23.0%
5.60 17.9% 6.50 15.4% 6.66 15.0% 6.50 15.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.50 40.0% 2.67 37.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.71 36.9%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Brentford
L W L W W
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 BrightonBrighton
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 NyukaslNyukasl
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
25.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
20.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:0 West HamWest Ham
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Burnley
L L L W W
22.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:3 West HamWest Ham
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 3:2 WolvesWolves
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:0 LeedsLeeds
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Burnley

Brentford
0 matches total
Burnley
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history