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Premier League
Premier League England
17.05.2026 14:00 UTC 37 round
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Crystal Palace

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
2 : 2
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Crystal Palace May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 4.01 / 2 4.63
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 55.6% / X 23.8% / Crystal Palace 20.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 55.5%
X 23.8%
2 20.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 56.6%
Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Brentford

Main outcome Brentford
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 47.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Dzhitek Kommyuniti (Brentford, England), 17 213 zriteley (100% pri vmestimosti 17 250)
Referee Semyuel Barrott
Start 17.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Crystal Palace

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Brentford - Kristal Pelas, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 37 round. Brentford - Kristal Pelas, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 18
Statistics 22
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
4' 4' Penalty confirmed | I. Sarr I. Sarr Crystal Palace
6' 6' Penalty | I. Sarr I. Sarr Crystal Palace
40' 40' Normal Goal | D. Ouattara Dango Ouattara Brentford
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Y. Pino | assist/sub out: B. Johnson Y. Pino Crystal Palace
52' 52' Normal Goal | A. Wharton | assist/sub out: D. Munoz A. Wharton Crystal Palace
61' 61' Substitution 5 | M. Lacroix | assist/sub out: C. Richards M. Lacroix Crystal Palace
61' 61' Substitution 6 | J. S. Larsen | assist/sub out: J. Mateta J. Larsen Crystal Palace
63' 63' Substitution 3 | V. Janelt | assist/sub out: J. Henderson Vitaly Janelt Brentford
Metric Brentford Crystal Palace SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.71 1.72 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 6 final
Shots off target 8 5 final
Shots on target 3 5 final
Udary vsego 14 16 final
Fouls soversheno 7 5 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final
Offsides 2 1 final
Brentford #1 C. Kelleher, #9 I. Thiago, #23 Keane Lewis-Potter, #24 M. Damsgaard, #27 Vitaly Janelt, #8 M. Jensen, #18 Y. Yarmolyuk, #22 N. Collins, #19 Dango Ouattara, #20 K. Ajer, #33 M. Kayode
Crystal Palace #1 D. Henderson, #3 Tyrick Mitchell, #10 Y. Pino, #22 J. Larsen, #34 C. Riad, #5 M. Lacroix, #7 I. Sarr, #18 Daichi Kamada, #20 A. Wharton, #23 Jaydee Canvot, #2 D. Munoz
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Wharton Crystal Palace football.player.assists 0
A. Wharton Crystal Palace football.player.goals 1
A. Wharton Crystal Palace football.player.minutes_played 90
B. Johnson Crystal Palace football.player.assists 0
B. Johnson Crystal Palace football.player.minutes_played 45
C. Riad Crystal Palace football.player.assists 0
C. Riad Crystal Palace football.player.minutes_played 74
Chris Richards Crystal Palace football.player.assists 0
Chris Richards Crystal Palace football.player.minutes_played 29
D. Henderson Crystal Palace football.player.assists 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.63 market consensus · line only
X 4.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.96 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.85 26.0% 4.21 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.10 24.4%
4.50 22.2% 4.72 21.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.0 1.29 77.5%
Over 2.25 1.56 64.1%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 3.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Brentford

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Crystal Palace

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Antoni Milambo Fabiu Karvalyu Riko Genri Travmirovannye Eddi Nketia Sheyk Dukure Kaleb Kporkha
Match center
Brentford
L W L D D
09.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:0 West HamWest Ham
27.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
18.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 FulhamFulham
11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:2 EvertonEverton
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Crystal Palace
L D L L D
13.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 EvertonEverton
03.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:3 BournemouthBournemouth
25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:3 LiverpulLiverpul
20.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Crystal Palace

Brentford
1 matches total
Crystal Palace
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Crystal Palace: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kristal Pelas 0:2 (01.11 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 01.11 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
0:2
Kristal Pelas
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Brentford
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Crystal Palace
Brentford Team comparison Crystal Palace
36 Games 36
14 Wins 11
9 Draws 11
13 Losses 14
52 Scored 38
49 Conceded 47
51 Points 44
87.69 Attacks 84.91
45.06 Dangerous attacks 41.57
0 Big chances 0
10.44 Shots on goal 11.5
3.92 Shots on target 3.67
ezhdeniya 2 0.03 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Ismaila Sarr 0:1 6' Dango Uattara 1 40' Adam Uorton Daniel Munos 1:2 52' Dango Uattara Sepp van den Berg 2 88' Nakazaniya Kris Richards 83' Khefferson Lerma 89' Mikael Kayode 90+5' Din Khenderson 90+5'

Brentford Kristal Pelas 36 Games 36 14 Wins 11 9 Draws 11 13 Losses 14 52 Scored 38 49 Conceded 47 51 Points 44 87.69 Attacks 84.91 45.06 Dangerous attacks 41.57 0 Big chances 0 10.44 Shots on goal 11.5 3.92 Udary v stvor 3.67 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.75 Uglovye 4.25 1.56 Offsaydy 1.92 10.31 Foly 10.56 47.39 % vladeniya myachom 46.25 1.81 Warnings 2 0.03 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Ismaila Sarr 0:1 6' Dango Uattara 1 40' Adam Uorton Daniel Munos 1:2 52' Dango Uattara Sepp van den Berg 2 88' Nakazaniya Kris Richards 83' Khefferson Lerma 89' Mikael Kayode 90+5' Din Khenderson 90+5'