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Premier League England

18.04.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction

18.04.2026 11:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Brentford - Fulham

England Football

Stadium Brentford Community Stadium

Capacity 17 250

Brentford

0 : 0

Finished

Fulham

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Brentford — 42%

1 · Brentford41.6%

X · draw26.8%

2 · Fulham31.7%

Model estimate: win Brentford 41.6%, draw 26.8%, win Fulham 31.7%. Model favourite — Brentford.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Fulham April 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Strongest: Brentford - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.63 / 2 3.32
1X2 market: Brentford 45.2% / X 26.2% / Fulham 28.6%
Glicko: Brentford 41.6% / X 26.8% / Fulham 31.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 38.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 45.2%

X 26.2%

2 28.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%

Over 2.5 54.8%

Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 3/4

Confidence 44.6%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:0

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center

Start 18.04.2026 11:30 UTC

Stadium Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Capacity 17,250

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Brentford 42%

💹 Market Brentford 4522%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Brentford - Fulham

Brentford: Win 2.10 Brentford: Draw 3.75 Fulham Win: 3.25 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.73 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Brentford bolshe 1.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Brentford menshe 1.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Fulham bo…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:0

Events 2

Statistics 24

Lineups 37

min Event Player Team

6' 6' Yellow Card | Sasa Lukic M. Diaz Fulham

43' 43' Substitution 1 | Alex Iwobi | assist/sub out: Samuel Chukwueze K. Mbappe Fulham

Metric Brentford Fulham SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.43 0.77 final

Zablokirovannye udary 3 6 final

Shots off target 6 5 final

Shots on target 4 0 final

Udary vsego 13 11 final

Fouls soversheno 8 13 final

Zheltye kartochki 0 1 final

Offsides 1 1 final

Brentford #1 Bernd Leno, #3 Calvin Bassey, #5 Joachim Andersen, #8 H. Wilson, #9 Rodrigo Muniz, #10 Tom Cairney, #17 Alex Iwobi, #20 S. Lukic, #21 T. Castagne, #30 Ryan Sessegnon, #32 Emile Smith Rowe

Fulham #1 C. Kelleher, #4 Sepp van den Berg, #7 K. Schade, #8 M. Jensen, #9 I. Thiago, #18 Y. Yarmolyuk, #19 Dango Ouattara, #22 N. Collins, #23 Keane Lewis-Potter, #24 M. Damsgaard, #33 M. Kayode

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Hickey Fulham Seyvy 0

C. Kelleher Fulham football.player.assists 0

C. Kelleher Fulham Dribling popytki 1

C. Kelleher Fulham Dribling uspeshno 1

C. Kelleher Fulham Edinoborstva vyigrano 1

C. Kelleher Fulham Fouls na igroke 1

C. Kelleher Fulham Seyvy 0

C. Kelleher Fulham football.player.minutes_played 90

C. Kelleher Fulham Klyuchevye pasy 47

C. Kelleher Fulham Reyting (staryy) 6.3

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Brentford 45.6% 41.6% market and model agree

Draw 25.9% 26.8% draw risk

Fulham 28.5% 31.7%

xG - 1.36 : 1.15

Total 2.5 Over 38.6% - Under 61.4%

Model check - - Difference 0.04

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 41.6% / 26.8% / 31.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,539 / 1,504 Brentford / Fulham

RD 72 / 71 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.32 market consensus · no value · model 31.7%

X 3.63 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.10 market consensus · no value · model 41.6%

Double chance

X2 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 58.4%

12 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 73.2%

1X 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 68.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.37 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.17 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.88 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 38.6%

Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · value +29.6% · model 61.4%

Both teams to score

No 2.21 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.06 48.5%	2.12 47.2%	2.16 46.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.12 47.2%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.74 26.7%	3.50 28.6%	3.75 26.7%	3.60 27.8%
	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.20 45.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.22 45.1%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.19 45.7%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.73 57.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	—	1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0	—	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25	—	—	1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5	1.22 82.0%	—	1.21 82.6%
Over 1.75	—	—	1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5	1.73 57.8%	—	—
Over 2.75	—	2.01 49.8%	—
Over 3.5	2.80 35.7%	—	—
Over 4.5	5.25 19.1%	—	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—	—
Under 1.5	4.00 25.0%	—	—
Under 2.5	2.10 47.6%	—	—
Under 2.75	—	1.89 52.9%	—
Under 3.5	1.42 70.4%	—	—
Under 4.5	1.15 87.0%	—	—

Match center

Brentford

Founded 1889

Fulham

Founded 1879

Match center

Brentford

D D D D W

11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 2:2 Everton

21.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:0 Leeds

16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 2:2 Wolves

03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brentford 0:0 Bournemouth

28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brentford 4:3 Burnley

1 Wins

4 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Fulham

L W D L W

11.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Fulham 0:2 Liverpul

21.03 15:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 3:1 Burnley

15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 0:0 Nottingem Forest

04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Fulham 0:1 West Ham

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Fulham 2:1 Tottenkhem

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Fulham

Brentford

2 matches total

Fulham

Brentford: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Fulham: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Fulham 1:3 (20.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 18.05 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 6

6 Goals conceded 3

Match history

20.09 19:00 UTC

Premier League

Brentford

1:3

Fulham

18.05 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Brentford

2:3

Fulham

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.