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Premier League
Premier League England
14.12.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Leeds

England Football
Brentford
Brentford
1 : 1
Finished
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Leeds December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.19 / X 3.27 / 2 3.55
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 43.8% / X 29.3% / Leeds 27.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 43.7%
X 29.3%
2 27.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 44.0%
Under 2.5 56.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.56 market consensus · line only
X 3.27 market consensus · line only
1 2.19 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.23 44.8%
X 3.30 30.3%
3.61 27.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.15 46.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.24 44.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.39 29.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9%
3.55 28.2% 3.55 28.2% 3.66 27.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Brentford
L L W L W
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 BurnleyBurnley
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 BrightonBrighton
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 NyukaslNyukasl
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Leeds
D W L L L
06.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:3 LiverpulLiverpul
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:3 Manchester CityManchester City
23.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Leeds

Brentford
0 matches total
Leeds
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history