Premier League
Premier League England
05.10.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Manchester City

England Futbol
Brentford
Brentford
0 : 1
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Manchester City 5 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.05 / X 4.38 / 2 1.61
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 18.9% / X 21.9% / Manchester City 59.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 18.9%
X 21.8%
2 59.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 58.9%
Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus · line only
X 4.38 market consensus · line only
1 5.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.02 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.03 19.9%
Х 4.46 22.4%
П2 1.64 61.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4% 5.35 18.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6%
Х 4.30 23.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.54 22.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2%
П2 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.33 42.9% 2.17 46.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.14 46.7% 2.22 45.1%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.61 62.1% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.41 41.5%
Match center
Brentford
W L D L W
27.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 3:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
20.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:3 FulhamFulham
13.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Manchester City
W D W L L
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 5:1 BurnleyBurnley
21.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:2 BrightonBrighton
23.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Manchester City

Brentford
1 matches total
Manchester City
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester City: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester City 1:2 (14.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 14.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
1:2
Manchester City