Premier League
Premier League England
04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Manchester United

England Futbol
Brentford
Brentford
4 : 3
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Manchester United 4 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 4.34 / 2 4.84
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 57.7% / X 22.3% / Manchester United 20.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 57.7%
X 22.3%
2 20.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.84 market consensus · line only
X 4.34 market consensus · line only
1 1.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.68 59.5%
Х 4.34 23.0%
П2 4.84 20.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.30 43.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.42 41.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.30 76.9%
П2 3.76 26.6%
Match center
Brentford
W W D D L
01.05 18:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:2 BrightonBrighton
12.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Manchester United
D L L D L
27.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 WolvesWolves
13.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:4 NyukaslNyukasl
06.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:0 Manchester CityManchester City
01.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Manchester United

Brentford
1 matches total
Manchester United
Brentford: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester United: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester United 1:2 (19.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 19.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
1:2
Manchester United