Premier League
Premier League England
27.09.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - Manchester United

England Futbol
Brentford
Brentford
3 : 1
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - Manchester United 27 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.36 / X 3.69 / 2 2.09
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 28.4% / X 25.9% / Manchester United 45.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 28.4%
X 25.9%
2 45.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.09.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Brentford - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 3.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.76 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.45 29.0%
Х 3.80 26.3%
П2 2.11 47.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.81 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
П2 2.02 49.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.39 41.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.52 39.7%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
Match center
Brentford
L D L W L
20.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:3 FulhamFulham
13.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Manchester United
W L W D L
20.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
14.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:2 BurnleyBurnley
24.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:1 FulhamFulham
17.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 ArsenalArsenal
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - Manchester United

Brentford
2 matches total
Manchester United
Brentford: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester United: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Brentford 4:3 (04.05 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (4:3, 04.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 5

Match history

04.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
4:3
Manchester United
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
1:2
Manchester United