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Premier League
Premier League England
02.05.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
02.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brentford - West Ham

England Futbol
Stadium Brentford Community Stadium
Referee C. Pawson
Capacity 17 250
Brentford
Brentford
3 : 0
Finished
West Ham
West Ham
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Brentford — 46%

1 · Brentford46.4%
X · draw26.3%
2 · West Ham27.3%

Model estimate: win Brentford 46.4%, draw 26.3%, win West Ham 27.3%. Model favourite — Brentford.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brentford - West Ham 2 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Strongest: Brentford - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.89 / 2 3.90
  • 1X2 market: Brentford 51.2% / X 24.5% / West Ham 24.4%
  • Glicko: Brentford 46.4% / X 26.3% / West Ham 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 32.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 51.1%
X 24.5%
2 24.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 59.8%
Under 2.5 40.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 49.3%
Total ТМ 2.5
Score 1:0

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 02.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Stadium Brentford Community Stadium (London)
Referee C. Pawson
Capacity 17,250

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Brentford 46%
💹 Market Brentford 5117%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Brentford - West Ham

Brentford: Победа 1.85 Brentford: Ничья 3.90 West Ham Победа: 3.90 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.57 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.38 Индивидуальный тотал голов Brentford больше 1.5: 1.67 Индивидуальный тотал голов Brentford меньше 1.5: 2.10 Индивидуальный тотал голов West Ha…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 17
Statistics 24
Lineups 80
min Event Player Team
15' 15' Own Goal | K. Mavropanos K. Mavropanos Brentford
21' 21' Goal Disallowed - offside | K. Mavropanos K. Mavropanos West Ham
52' 52' Penalty | I. Thiago I. Thiago Brentford
59' 59' Yellow Card | V. Castellanos V. Castellanos West Ham
62' 62' Yellow Card | C. Summerville Crysencio Summerville West Ham
65' 65' Substitution 1 | V. Castellanos | assist/sub out: C. Wilson V. Castellanos West Ham
65' 65' Substitution 2 | K. Walker-Peters | assist/sub out: A. Wan-Bissaka K. Walker-Peters West Ham
73' 73' Yellow Card | M. Kayode M. Kayode Brentford
Metric Brentford West Ham SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.27 0.92 final
Заблокированные удары 3 0 final
Удары мимо 5 9 final
Удары в створ 6 4 final
Удары всего 14 13 final
Фолы совершено 8 12 final
Желтые карточки 1 3 final
Офсайды 0 1 final
Brentford #1 M. Hermansen, #2 K. Walker-Peters, #4 Axel Disasi, #7 Crysencio Summerville, #11 V. Castellanos, #12 M. Diouf, #15 K. Mavropanos, #18 Mateus Fernandes, #19 Pablo Felipe, #20 J. Bowen, #28 T. Soucek
West Ham #1 C. Kelleher, #4 Sepp van den Berg, #7 K. Schade, #8 M. Jensen, #9 I. Thiago, #18 Y. Yarmolyuk, #19 Dango Ouattara, #22 N. Collins, #23 Keane Lewis-Potter, #24 M. Damsgaard, #33 M. Kayode
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Hickey West Ham Дриблинг попытки 1
A. Hickey West Ham Единоборства выиграно 1
A. Hickey West Ham Сейвы 0
A. Hickey West Ham Ключевые пасы 2
A. Hickey West Ham Блоки 1
A. Hickey West Ham Отборы всего 2
A. Wan-Bissaka West Ham football.player.minutes_played 33
Adama Traoré West Ham football.player.minutes_played 24
Axel Disasi West Ham football.player.minutes_played 98
C. Kelleher West Ham Сейвы 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Brentford 51.7% 46.4% market and model agree
Draw 24.4% 26.3% draw risk
West Ham 23.9% 27.3%
xG - 1.45 : 1.05
Total 2.5 Over 32.6% - Under 67.4%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.4% / 26.3% / 27.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,531 / 1,477 Brentford / West Ham
RD 70 / 72 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 market consensus · no value · model 27.3%
X 3.89 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 46.4%
Double chance
X2 1.94 market consensus · weak value +3.9% · model 53.6%
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 73.7%
1X 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 72.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 32.6%
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · weak value +59.7% · model 67.4%
Both teams to score
No 2.39 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Х 3.75 26.7% 4.07 24.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3% 3.90 25.6%
П2 3.80 26.3% 4.02 24.9% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.45 40.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.25 — 1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.15 87.0%
ТБ 1.75 — 1.20 83.3%
ТБ 2.0 — 1.24 80.7%
ТБ 2.25 — 1.49 67.1%
ТБ 2.5 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 3.5 2.40 41.7% —
ТБ 4.5 4.20 23.8% —
ТМ 0.5 10.00 10.0% —
ТМ 1.5 4.50 22.2% —
ТМ 2.5 2.35 42.6% —
ТМ 3.5 1.55 64.5% —
ТМ 4.5 1.22 82.0% —
Match center
Brentford
Founded 1889
West Ham
Founded 1895
Match center
Brentford
L D D D D
27.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
18.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 FulhamFulham
11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:2 EvertonEverton
21.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 LeedsLeeds
16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:2 WolvesWolves
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
West Ham
W D W L D
25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 2:1 EvertonEverton
20.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
10.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 4:0 WolvesWolves
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
14.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrentford - West Ham

Brentford
2 matches total
West Ham
Brentford: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
West Ham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Brentford 2:0 (20.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 20.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

20.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
2:0
West Ham
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford
1:1
West Ham
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.