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Premier League England

23.08.2026 13:00 UTC

Not started

Premier League

Brighton - Aston Villa

England Football

Brighton

- : -

Not started

Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Aston Villa August 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 3.70 / 2 3.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 42.4%

X 25.8%

2 31.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.08.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Brighton - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.00 Fonbet · line only

X 3.70 Fonbet · line only

1 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.40 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 4.15 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	2.50 40.0%
yes	1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.30 76.9%
1x	1.40 71.4%
x2	1.65 60.6%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.17 85.5%
	1.14 87.7%
	3.15 31.8%
	3.80 26.3%
	6.40 15.6%
	7.40 13.5%
	1.67 59.9%
	4.15 24.1%
	4.70 21.3%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.22 82.0%
	1.07 93.5%
	1.05 95.2%
	2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 0.5	1.01 99.0%
Over 1	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5	1.14 87.7%
Over 2	1.22 82.0%
Over 2.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 3	1.88 53.2%
Over 3.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 4	3.50 28.6%
Over 4.5	4.10 24.4%
Under 0.5	11.50 8.7%
Under 1	9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5	4.60 21.7%
Under 2	3.80 26.3%
Under 2.5	2.35 42.6%
Under 3	1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5	1.57 63.7%
Under 4	1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5	1.18 84.8%

Match center

Brighton

L L W L W

24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:3 Manchester United

17.05 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Leeds

09.05 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 3:0 Wolves

02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:3 Nyukasl

21.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 3:0 Chelsea

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

Aston Villa

W W D L L

24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:1 Manchester City

15.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 4:2 Liverpul

10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:2 Burnley

03.05 18:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:2 Tottenkhem

25.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:1 Fulham

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Aston Villa

Brighton

3 matches total

Aston Villa

Brighton: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Aston Villa: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Aston Villa 0:3 (02.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 7 goals (3:4, 03.12 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 8

8 Goals conceded 3

Match history

11.02 19:30 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

0:1

Aston Villa

03.12 19:30 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

3:4

Aston Villa

02.04 18:45 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

0:3

Aston Villa