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Premier League
Premier League England
03.01.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
03.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Burnley

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
2 : 0
Finished
Burnley
Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Burnley January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.54 / 2 6.94
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 65.1% / X 21.1% / Burnley 13.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 65.1%
X 21.1%
2 13.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 56.3%
Under 2.5 43.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.96 market consensus · line only
X 4.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.98 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.47 68.0%
X 4.60 21.7%
7.18 13.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
X 4.45 22.5% 4.60 21.7% 4.68 21.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7%
7.00 14.3% 6.60 15.2% 7.06 14.2% 7.00 14.3% 7.20 13.9% 7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.74 36.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.78 36.0% 2.85 35.1%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Brighton
D L D L D
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 West HamWest Ham
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:2 ArsenalArsenal
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:0 SunderlandSunderland
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:2 LiverpulLiverpul
07.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Burnley
L D D L L
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:3 NyukaslNyukasl
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:0 EvertonEverton
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
13.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:3 FulhamFulham
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Burnley

Brighton
0 matches total
Burnley
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history