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Premier League
Premier League England
01.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Leeds

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
3 : 0
Finished
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Leeds November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.60 / 2 3.84
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 48.2% / X 26.7% / Leeds 25.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 48.2%
X 26.8%
2 25.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.03 49.3%
X 3.60 27.8%
3.87 25.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.72 26.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
3.80 26.3% 3.96 25.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 3.87 25.8% 3.87 25.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Brighton
L W D W D
25.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:4 Manchester UnitedManchester United
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 WolvesWolves
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Leeds
W L L D W
24.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:1 West HamWest Ham
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:2 BurnleyBurnley
04.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Leeds

Brighton
0 matches total
Leeds
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history