Premier League England

04.05.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

04.05.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Brighton - Newcastle

England Futbol

Brighton

1 : 1

Finished

Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Newcastle 4 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.11 / X 3.72 / 2 2.29
1X2 market: Brighton 31.3% / X 26.2% / Newcastle 42.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%

1 31.3%

X 26.2%

2 42.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%

Over 2.5 60.3%

Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.05.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Brighton - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.29 market consensus · line only

X 3.72 market consensus · line only

1 3.11 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.41 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.69 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	3.11 32.2%
Х	3.72 26.9%
П2	2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.41 70.9%
home_away	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.69 59.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.61 62.1%
ТМ 2.5	2.45 40.8%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.29 43.7%
П2	1.68 59.5%

Match center

Brighton

W L D L L

26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 3:2 West Ham

19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:4 Brentford

12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:2 Leicester

05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:2 Kristal Pelas

02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:3 Aston Villa

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.6 Conceded

4 Points

Newcastle

W L W W W

26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:0 Ipswich

19.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:4 Aston Villa

16.04 18:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 5:0 Kristal Pelas

13.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 4:1 Manchester United

07.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:0 Leicester

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

3.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Newcastle

Brighton

1 matches total

Newcastle

Brighton: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Brighton 1:0 (19.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 19.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.10 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

1:0

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