Premier League England

01.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

01.03.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Brighton - Nottingham Forest

England Futbol

Brighton

2 : 1

Finished

Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Nottingham Forest 1 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.38 / 2 3.32
1X2 market: Brighton 43.1% / X 28.2% / Nottingham Forest 28.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 43.1%

X 28.2%

2 28.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 50.6%

Under 2.5 49.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.03.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Brighton - Nottingham Forest

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.33 market consensus · line only

X 3.38 market consensus · line only

1 2.21 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.68 market consensus · line only

12 1.32 market consensus · line only

1X 1.34 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.32 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.19 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.95 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.11 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.25 44.4%
Х	3.42 29.2%
П2	3.43 29.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	2.16 46.3%	2.21 45.3%	2.28 43.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%
Х	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.47 28.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.45 29.0%
П2	3.20 31.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.47 28.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.19 45.7%	2.12 47.2%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.09 47.9%	2.22 45.1%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.66 60.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.66 60.2%	1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

Brighton

W L L D L

21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:0 Brentford

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Aston Villa

08.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Kristal Pelas

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:1 Everton

24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:2 Fulham

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

4 Points

Nottingham Forest

L D L D W

22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:1 Liverpul

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:0 Wolves

06.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:3 Leeds

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Kristal Pelas

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 2:0 Brentford

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Nottingham Forest

Brighton

2 matches total

Nottingham Forest

Brighton: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Brighton 2:0 (30.11 14:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 22.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (22.09 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 4

Match history

30.11 14:05 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

2:0

Nottingem Forest

22.09 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Brighton

2:2

Nottingem Forest