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Premier League
Premier League England
20.12.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction
20.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Sunderland

England Football
Brighton
Brighton
0 : 0
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Sunderland December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.91 / 2 5.10
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 56.8% / X 24.5% / Sunderland 18.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 56.8%
X 24.4%
2 18.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 1.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.52 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8%
X 3.90 25.6%
5.23 19.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 4.11 24.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3%
5.25 19.1% 5.10 19.6% 5.28 18.9% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 5.30 18.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.28 43.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Brighton
L D L W W
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:2 LiverpulLiverpul
07.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:1 West HamWest Ham
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:4 Aston VillaAston Villa
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Sunderland
W L D W L
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:2 BournemouthBournemouth
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:1 FulhamFulham
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Sunderland

Brighton
0 matches total
Sunderland
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history