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Premier League
Premier League England
09.05.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Brighton - Wolves

England Football
Stadium Amex Stadium
Brighton
Brighton
3 : 0
Finished
Wolves
Wolves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brighton - Wolves May 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.05 / 2 10.32
  • 1X2 market: Brighton 75.0% / X 15.7% / Wolves 9.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 75.0%
X 15.7%
2 9.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Under 2.5 36.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Brighton - Wolves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.33 market consensus · line only
X 6.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 3.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.92 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
X 5.90 17.0% 6.34 15.8% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7%
10.75 9.3% 10.90 9.2% 10.00 10.0% 9.00 11.1% 10.75 9.3% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.95 25.3% 3.84 26.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 — 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.0 — 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.25 — 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0%
Over 2.75 — 1.59 62.9%
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4% —
Over 4.5 3.80 26.3% —
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3% —
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0% —
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2% —
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7% —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7% —
Match center
Brighton
L W D W W
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 1:3 NyukaslNyukasl
21.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:0 ChelseaChelsea
18.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
21.03 12:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Wolves
D L L L D
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 SunderlandSunderland
25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
18.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:3 LeedsLeeds
10.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:4 West HamWest Ham
16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrighton - Wolves

Brighton
3 matches total
Wolves
Brighton: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:2 (66.7%)
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Brighton 2:0 (10.05 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 26.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (26.10 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 5

Match history

05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton
1:1
Wolves
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton
2:0
Wolves
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton
2:2
Wolves