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Premier League
Premier League England
01.11.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction
01.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Burnley - Arsenal

England Football
Burnley
Burnley
0 : 2
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Arsenal November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 11.86 / X 5.87 / 2 1.27
  • 1X2 market: Burnley 8.1% / X 16.4% / Arsenal 75.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 8.1%
X 16.3%
2 75.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Burnley - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 market consensus · line only
X 5.89 market consensus · line only
1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 3.89 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.37 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 4.01 market consensus · line only
1 +1 3.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
12.17 8.2%
X 6.04 16.6%
1.28 78.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
12.50 8.0% 12.20 8.2% 10.00 10.0% 12.00 8.3% 12.17 8.2% 12.17 8.2%
X 6.00 16.7% 5.82 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 5.70 17.5% 6.04 16.6% 6.04 16.6%
1.26 79.4% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.53 39.5% 2.44 41.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 3.78 26.5% 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 4.09 24.5% 4.09 24.5% 3.75 26.7%
Match center
Burnley
W W L L D
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 3:2 WolvesWolves
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:0 LeedsLeeds
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:5 Manchester CityManchester City
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Arsenal
W W W W D
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
18.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 FulhamFulham
04.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:0 West HamWest Ham
28.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
21.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Arsenal

Burnley
0 matches total
Arsenal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history