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Premier League England

36 round 10.05.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

10.05.2026 13:00 UTC 36 round

Finished

Premier League

Burnley - Aston Villa

England Football

Stadium Turf Moor

Burnley

2 : 2

Finished

Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Aston Villa May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.90 / X 4.33 / 2 1.54
1X2 market: Burnley 16.2% / X 22.0% / Aston Villa 61.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 16.1%

X 22.0%

2 61.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 55.3%

Under 2.5 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Terf Mur (Bernli, England), 21 196 zriteley (94% pri vmestimosti 22 546)

Referee Entoni Teylor (Manchester)

Start 10.05.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Burnley - Aston Villa

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Bernli - Aston Villa, 10 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 36 round. Bernli - Aston Villa, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.00 Fonbet · line only

X 1.08 Fonbet · line only

1 6.00 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.13 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 2.44 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.95 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	4.75 21.1%	6.35 15.8%	5.50 18.2%	6.00 16.7%	6.30 15.9%	6.00 16.7%
X	4.00 25.0%	4.62 21.7%	4.00 25.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.50 22.2%	4.40 22.7%
	1.64 61.0%	1.56 64.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.92 52.1%	1.93 51.8%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.79 55.9%	1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.15 87.0%	1.10 90.9%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	2.20 45.5%	2.60 38.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.55 39.2%	2.50 40.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5	1.25 80.0%	1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75	—	1.24 80.7%
Over 2.0	—	1.30 76.9%
Over 2.25	—	1.57 63.7%
Over 2.5	1.80 55.6%	1.76 56.8%
Over 3.5	3.00 33.3%	—
Over 4.5	5.75 17.4%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	3.80 26.3%	—
Under 2.5	2.00 50.0%	—
Under 3.5	1.38 72.5%	—
Under 4.5	1.13 88.5%	—

Match center

Burnley

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Aston Villa

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Dzhosh Kallen Dzhordan Bayer Konnor Roberts Travmirovannye Bubakar Kamara Amadu Onana

Match center

Burnley

L L L L L

01.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:3 Leeds

22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:1 Manchester City

19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:4 Nottingem Forest

11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:2 Brighton

21.03 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:3 Fulham

0 Wins

0 Draws

5 Losses

0.6 Scored

2.6 Conceded

0 Points

Aston Villa

L L W D W

03.05 18:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:2 Tottenkhem

25.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:1 Fulham

19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 4:3 Sunderland

12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:1 Nottingem Forest

22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:0 West Ham

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Aston Villa

Burnley

1 matches total

Aston Villa

Burnley: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Aston Villa: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Aston Villa 1:2 (05.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 05.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 13:00 UTC

Premier League

Burnley

1:2

Aston Villa

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Burnley

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Aston Villa

35 Games 35

4 Wins 17

8 Draws 7

23 Losses 11

35 Scored 48

71 Conceded 44

20 Points 58

85.09 Attacks 81.81

38.21 Dangerous attacks 43.94

0 Big chances 0

9.03 Shots on goal 12.34

3.03 Shots on target 4.29

iya 1.54 0.09 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Dzheydon Entoni 1:0 8' Ross Barkli Dzhon Makginn 1 42' Olli Uotkins Emiliano Martines 1:2 56' Zian Flemming Khannibal Mezhbri 2 58' Nakazaniya Tayron Mingz 49' Zian Flemming 60' VAR Olli Uotkins 39'

Bernli Aston Villa 35 Games 35 4 Wins 17 8 Draws 7 23 Losses 11 35 Scored 48 71 Conceded 44 20 Points 58 85.09 Attacks 81.81 38.21 Dangerous attacks 43.94 0 Big chances 0 9.03 Shots on goal 12.34 3.03 Udary v stvor 4.29 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.63 Uglovye 5.23 1.57 Offsaydy 1.09 9.97 Foly 10.17 41.8 % vladeniya myachom 53.69 1.66 Warnings 1.54 0.09 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Dzheydon Entoni 1:0 8' Ross Barkli Dzhon Makginn 1 42' Olli Uotkins Emiliano Martines 1:2 56' Zian Flemming Khannibal Mezhbri 2 58' Nakazaniya Tayron Mingz 49' Zian Flemming 60' VAR Olli Uotkins 39'