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Premier League England

14.03.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Burnley - Bournemouth

England Football

Burnley

0 : 0

Finished

Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Bournemouth March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.

Line favourite market consensus: Bournemouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.39 / X 3.94 / 2 1.79
1X2 market: Burnley 21.9% / X 24.4% / Bournemouth 53.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 21.9%

X 24.4%

2 53.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%

Over 2.5 55.5%

Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Burnley - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.79 market consensus · line only

X 3.95 market consensus · line only

1 4.40 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.23 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 2.05 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.34 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.17 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.48 22.3%
X	4.01 24.9%
	1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	4.50 22.2%	4.51 22.2%	4.33 23.1%	4.45 22.5%	4.48 22.3%	4.48 22.3%
X	3.90 25.6%	4.06 24.6%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.01 24.9%	4.01 24.9%
	1.77 56.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.79 55.9%	1.79 55.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.24 44.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.23 44.8%	2.20 45.5%
yes	1.66 60.2%	1.64 61.0%	1.67 59.9%	1.64 61.0%	1.71 58.5%	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.24 80.7%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	2.09 47.9%	1.91 52.4%	2.08 48.1%	2.12 47.2%	2.12 47.2%	1.95 51.3%

Match center

Burnley

L L D W L

03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:2 Everton

28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 3:4 Brentford

21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:1 Chelsea

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Burnley 3:2 Kristal Pelas

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:2 West Ham

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.2 Conceded

4 Points

Bournemouth

D D D W D

03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 Brentford

28.02 12:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:1 Sunderland

21.02 17:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 0:0 West Ham

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 2:1 Everton

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Bournemouth 1:1 Aston Villa

1 Wins

4 Draws

0 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Bournemouth

Burnley

1 matches total

Bournemouth

Burnley: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Bournemouth: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 20.12 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.12 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.12 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Burnley

1:1

Bournemouth