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Premier League England

28.02.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

28.02.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Burnley - Brentford

England Football

Burnley

3 : 4

Finished

Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Brentford February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brentford.

Line favourite market consensus: Brentford. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.41 / X 3.77 / 2 1.79
1X2 market: Burnley 21.7% / X 25.3% / Brentford 53.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 21.6%

X 25.2%

2 53.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%

Over 2.5 52.5%

Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.02.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Burnley - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.79 market consensus · line only

X 3.78 market consensus · line only

1 4.42 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.21 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 2.02 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.40 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.05 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.63 21.6%
X	3.84 26.0%
	1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.00 25.0%	4.55 22.0%	4.68 21.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.60 21.7%
X	3.80 26.3%	3.85 26.0%	3.92 25.5%	3.50 28.6%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%
	1.79 55.9%	1.78 56.2%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.82 55.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.13 47.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%	2.13 47.0%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.17 85.5%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	2.00 50.0%	2.09 47.9%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%