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Premier League
Premier League England
13.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Burnley - Fulham

England Football
Burnley
Burnley
2 : 3
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Fulham December 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fulham.

Line favourite market consensus: Fulham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.83 / X 3.39 / 2 2.04
  • 1X2 market: Burnley 25.0% / X 28.2% / Fulham 46.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 25.0%
X 28.2%
2 46.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Burnley - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 3.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.81 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.98 25.1%
X 3.44 29.1%
2.06 48.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.54 28.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0%
2.02 49.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Burnley
L L L L L
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
22.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Burnley 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:3 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
0 Points
Fulham
L L W W L
07.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 4:5 Manchester CityManchester City
29.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 SunderlandSunderland
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:2 EvertonEverton
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Fulham

Burnley
0 matches total
Fulham
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history