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Premier League
Premier League England
18.10.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
18.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Burnley - Leeds

England Football
Burnley
Burnley
2 : 0
Finished
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Leeds October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.61 / X 3.26 / 2 2.20
  • 1X2 market: Burnley 26.7% / X 29.6% / Leeds 43.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 26.7%
X 29.5%
2 43.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 41.5%
Under 2.5 58.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Burnley - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.19 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 3.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.71 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.78 26.5%
X 3.31 30.2%
2.17 46.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
3.65 27.4% 3.67 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.78 26.5% 3.78 26.5%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.32 30.1% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.31 30.2% 3.31 30.2%
2.16 46.3% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.17 46.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.03 49.3% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Burnley
L L D L L
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Burnley 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
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Burnley 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Burnley 2:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
Leeds
L D W L D
04.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 WolvesWolves
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:1 FulhamFulham
30.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Leeds

Burnley
0 matches total
Leeds
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history