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Premier League England

20.09.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Burnley - Nottingham Forest

England Football

Burnley

1 : 1

Finished

Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Burnley - Nottingham Forest September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.36 / X 3.38 / 2 2.26
1X2 market: Burnley 28.7% / X 28.6% / Nottingham Forest 42.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%

1 28.7%

X 28.6%

2 42.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%

Over 2.5 46.9%

Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 14:00 UTC

Match center

Burnley - Nottingham Forest

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.26 market consensus · line only

X 3.37 market consensus · line only

1 3.37 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.35 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.68 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.28 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.47 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.99 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.43 29.2%
X	3.36 29.8%
	2.28 43.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
	3.35 29.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.32 30.1%	3.43 29.2%	3.43 29.2%	3.25 30.8%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.48 28.7%	3.40 29.4%	3.36 29.8%	3.36 29.8%	3.25 30.8%
	2.23 44.8%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.28 43.9%	2.28 43.9%	2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%	1.94 51.6%	2.06 48.5%	2.00 50.0%
yes	1.82 55.0%	1.77 56.5%	1.77 56.5%	1.82 55.0%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.37 73.0%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%
home_away	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.69 59.2%	1.68 59.5%	1.69 59.2%	1.69 59.2%	1.67 59.9%

Match center

Burnley

L L W L

14.09 13:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:1 Liverpul

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:3 Manchester United

23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:0 Sunderland

16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:3 Tottenkhem

1 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

3 Points

Nottingham Forest

L L D W L

13.09 11:30 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:3 Arsenal

31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:3 West Ham

24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Kristal Pelas

17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 3:1 Brentford

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:1 Chelsea

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBurnley - Nottingham Forest

Burnley

0 matches total

Nottingham Forest

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Burnley - Nottingham Forest

AI match prediction Burnley - Nottingham Forest September 20, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Burnley - Nottingham Forest

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history