Premier League
Premier League England
30.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Chelsea - Bournemouth

England Futbol
Chelsea
Chelsea
2 : 2
Finished
Bournemouth
Bournemouth

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Bournemouth 30 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.53 / 2 5.62
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 61.8% / X 21.1% / Bournemouth 17.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 61.8%
X 21.1%
2 17.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Under 2.5 36.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.12.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Chelsea - Bournemouth

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.63 market consensus · line only
X 4.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.27 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.55 64.5%
Х 4.62 21.7%
П2 5.78 17.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.55 64.5%
Х 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.62 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7%
П2 5.40 18.5% 5.60 17.9% 5.94 16.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.40 18.5% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.27 44.1% 2.39 41.8% 2.32 43.1%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5% 2.60 38.5%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Chelsea
L D W D L
27.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
20.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 NyukaslNyukasl
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:0 EvertonEverton
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 0:0 BournemouthBournemouth
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:3 LeedsLeeds
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Bournemouth
L D D D L
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:4 BrentfordBrentford
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
15.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 4:4 Manchester UnitedManchester United
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Bournemouth 0:1 EvertonEverton
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Bournemouth

Chelsea
2 matches total
Bournemouth
Chelsea: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Bournemouth: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Chelsea 1:0 (14.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 14.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.12 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea
0:0
Bournemouth
14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea
1:0
Bournemouth