Match center
Start
27.09.2025 14:00 UTC
27.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Chelsea - Brighton
1
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chelsea - Brighton 27 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.
Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.89 / X 3.86 / 2 3.87
- 1X2 market: Chelsea 50.6% / X 24.8% / Brighton 24.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
50.6%
X
24.8%
2
24.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Chelsea - Brighton
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.88
market consensus · line only
X
3.86
market consensus · line only
1
1.89
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.92
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.27
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.98
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.54
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.70
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.77
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.63
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.32
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.35
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Х | 3.89 25.7% |
| П2 | 3.97 25.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% |
| Х | 3.85 26.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.01 24.9% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.95 25.3% |
| П2 | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.04 24.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.95 25.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.42 41.3% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.85 54.1% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% |
Match center
Chelsea
L
D
W
W
D
20.09 16:30 UTC
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Chelsea
1:2
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West Ham
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Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
8
Points
Brighton
D
L
W
L
D
20.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Brighton
2:2
Tottenkhem
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Bournemouth
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31.08 13:00 UTC
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Manchester City
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24.08 13:00 UTC
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Everton
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16.08 14:00 UTC
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Brighton
1:1
Fulham
Fulham
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Brighton
Chelsea
1
matches total
Chelsea: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Brighton: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Chelsea 4:2 (28.09 14:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (4:2, 28.09 14:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
28.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Chelsea
4:2
Brighton