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Premier League England

21.02.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Chelsea - Burnley

England Football

Chelsea

1 : 1

Finished

Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Burnley February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 6.70 / 2 12.57
1X2 market: Chelsea 78.1% / X 14.3% / Burnley 7.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 65.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 78.2%

X 14.2%

2 7.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%

Over 2.5 65.7%

Under 2.5 34.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Chelsea - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 6.72 market consensus · line only

1 1.22 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.33 market consensus · line only

12 1.11 market consensus · line only

1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.05 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.53 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.74 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.82 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.22 82.0%
X	7.05 14.2%
	13.31 7.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%
X	6.20 16.1%	6.80 14.7%	7.47 13.4%	6.00 16.7%	6.50 15.4%	6.80 14.7%
	11.50 8.7%	12.50 8.0%	14.40 6.9%	11.00 9.1%	12.00 8.3%	12.50 8.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.74 57.5%	1.81 55.3%
yes	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.99 50.3%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	4.00 25.0%	4.68 21.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.00 25.0%	4.25 23.5%	4.20 23.8%
home_away	1.11 90.1%	1.12 89.3%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.12 89.3%	1.08 92.6%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.03 97.1%

Match center

Chelsea

D W W W W

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:2 Leeds

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:1 Wolves

31.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:2 West Ham

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:1 Kristal Pelas

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:0 Brentford

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

13 Points

Burnley

W L L D D

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Burnley 3:2 Kristal Pelas

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:2 West Ham

02.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 0:3 Sunderland

24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 2:2 Tottenkhem

17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Burnley 1:1 Liverpul

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.0 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Burnley

Chelsea

1 matches total

Burnley

Chelsea: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Burnley: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Chelsea 2:0 (22.11 12:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 22.11 12:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

22.11 12:30 UTC

Premier League

Chelsea

2:0

Burnley