Premier League England

17.08.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

17.08.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Chelsea - Crystal Palace

England Futbol

Chelsea

0 : 0

Finished

Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Crystal Palace 17 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / X 4.00 / 2 4.80
1X2 market: Chelsea 55.8% / X 24.1% / Crystal Palace 20.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%

1 55.8%

X 24.1%

2 20.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 57.7%

Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.08.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Chelsea - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.80 Fonbet · line only

X 4.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

X2 2.10 Fonbet · line only

12 1.25 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.72 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 4.30 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.75 57.1%
Х	4.11 24.3%
П2	4.68 21.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.69 59.2%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.78 56.2%
Х	3.95 25.3%	3.95 25.3%	4.12 24.3%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%
П2	4.60 21.7%	4.80 20.8%	4.69 21.3%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%	4.65 21.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Betway	Bwin
no	2.10 47.6%	2.19 45.7%	2.12 47.2%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.68 59.5%	1.66 60.2%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betway
draw_away	2.10 47.6%	2.17 46.1%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.15 46.5%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%

Match center

Chelsea

W W L W W

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:0 Nottingem Forest

16.05 19:15 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:0 Manchester United

11.05 11:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 0:2 Nyukasl

04.05 15:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 3:1 Liverpul

26.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:0 Everton

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

12 Points

Crystal Palace

D W W D D

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:1 Liverpul

20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 4:2 Wolves

11.05 13:15 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 2:0 Tottenkhem

05.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem Forest

23.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 2:2 Arsenal

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Crystal Palace

Chelsea

1 matches total

Crystal Palace

Chelsea: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 01.09 12:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (01.09 12:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

01.09 12:30 UTC

Premier League

Chelsea

1:1

Kristal Pelas