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Premier League
Premier League England
26.04.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
26.04.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Chelsea - Everton

England Football
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 : 0
Finished
Everton
Everton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Everton April 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.26 / 2 6.15
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 61.7% / X 22.6% / Everton 15.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 61.7%
X 22.6%
2 15.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.04.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Chelsea - Everton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.15 market consensus · line only
X 4.26 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
X 4.26 23.5%
6.15 16.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.56 39.1%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.21 82.6%
4.71 21.2%
Match center
Chelsea
W D D W W
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:1 FulhamFulham
13.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 IpswichIpswich
06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 0:0 BrentfordBrentford
03.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Everton
L W D L D
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
05.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
02.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
26.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 FulhamFulham
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Everton

Chelsea
0 matches total
Everton
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history