Premier League England

04.05.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction

04.05.2025 15:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Chelsea - Liverpool

England Futbol

Chelsea

3 : 1

Finished

Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Liverpool 4 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.83 / 2 3.10
1X2 market: Chelsea 43.2% / X 25.4% / Liverpool 31.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 43.2%

X 25.4%

2 31.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.05.2025 15:30 UTC

Match center

Chelsea - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.10 market consensus · line only

X 3.83 market consensus · line only

1 2.25 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.70 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.25 44.4%
Х	3.83 26.1%
П2	3.10 32.3%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.70 58.8%
home_away	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5	2.32 43.1%
ТМ 3.5	1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.67 59.9%
П2	2.30 43.5%

Match center

Chelsea

W W D D W

26.04 11:30 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:0 Everton

20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:1 Fulham

13.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 2:2 Ipswich

06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 0:0 Brentford

03.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Chelsea 1:0 Tottenkhem

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

11 Points

Liverpool

W W W L W

27.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 5:1 Tottenkhem

20.04 15:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:0 Leicester

13.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 West Ham

06.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:3 Fulham

02.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:0 Everton

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Liverpool

Chelsea

1 matches total

Liverpool

Chelsea: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Liverpool: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Liverpul 1:2 (20.10 15:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 20.10 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.10 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Chelsea

1:2

Liverpul