Match center
Start
04.10.2025 16:30 UTC
04.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Chelsea - Liverpool
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chelsea - Liverpool 4 октября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.
Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.90 / X 3.66 / 2 2.33
- 1X2 market: Chelsea 32.9% / X 26.1% / Liverpool 41.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
32.9%
X
26.1%
2
41.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5
60.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Chelsea - Liverpool
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.33
market consensus · line only
X
3.66
market consensus · line only
1
2.90
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.42
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.63
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.44
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.19
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.32
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.37
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.56
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.42
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.60
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.46
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.97 33.7% |
| Х | 3.68 27.2% |
| П2 | 2.39 41.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.84 35.2% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.94 34.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.95 33.9% |
| Х | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.78 26.5% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% |
| П2 | 2.32 43.1% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.68 37.3% | 2.64 37.9% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.79 35.8% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.48 67.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.42 70.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% |
Match center
Chelsea
L
L
D
W
W
27.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Chelsea
1:3
Brighton
Brighton
20.09 16:30 UTC
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Chelsea
1:2
Manchester United
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Fulham
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22.08 19:00 UTC
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5:1
West Ham
West Ham
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
7
Points
Liverpool
L
W
W
W
W
27.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Liverpool
1:2
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
20.09 11:30 UTC
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Liverpool
2:1
Everton
Everton
14.09 13:00 UTC
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Liverpool
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Burnley
Burnley
31.08 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Liverpool
1:0
Arsenal
Arsenal
25.08 19:00 UTC
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Liverpool
3:2
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Liverpool
Chelsea
2
matches total
Chelsea: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Liverpool: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Chelsea 3:1 (04.05 15:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 04.05 15:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.05 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Chelsea
3:1
Liverpul
20.10 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Chelsea
1:2
Liverpul