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Premier League
Premier League England
16.05.2025 19:15 UTC Match prediction
16.05.2025 19:15 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Chelsea - Manchester United

England Football
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 : 0
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Manchester United May 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.54 / 2 5.71
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 61.9% / X 21.3% / Manchester United 16.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 61.8%
X 21.3%
2 16.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 60.5%
Under 2.5 39.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.05.2025 19:15 UTC
Match center

Chelsea - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.71 market consensus · line only
X 4.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
X 4.54 22.0%
5.71 17.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.58 38.8%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.23 81.3%
4.58 21.8%
Match center
Chelsea
L W W W D
11.05 11:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 0:2 NyukaslNyukasl
04.05 15:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:1 LiverpulLiverpul
26.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 EvertonEverton
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:1 FulhamFulham
13.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 IpswichIpswich
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Manchester United
L L D L L
11.05 13:15 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:2 West HamWest Ham
04.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:4 BrentfordBrentford
27.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 WolvesWolves
13.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:4 NyukaslNyukasl
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points