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Premier League
Premier League England
27.10.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
27.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Chelsea - Newcastle

England Football
Chelsea
Chelsea
2 : 1
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Newcastle October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 4.34 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 55.8% / X 22.4% / Newcastle 21.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 55.8%
X 22.4%
2 21.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Chelsea - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.46 market consensus · line only
X 4.34 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.74 57.5%
X 4.34 23.0%
4.46 22.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 3.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.35 74.1%
3.44 29.1%
Match center
Chelsea
L D W W W
20.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 4:2 BrightonBrighton
21.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 West HamWest Ham
14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Newcastle
L D D L W
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:1 BrightonBrighton
05.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:0 EvertonEverton
28.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 FulhamFulham
15.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 WolvesWolves
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Newcastle

Chelsea
0 matches total
Newcastle
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history