Premier League
Premier League England
06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Chelsea - Nottingham Forest

England Futbol
Chelsea
Chelsea
1 : 1
Finished
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Nottingham Forest 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.70 / 2 6.41
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 64.2% / X 20.6% / Nottingham Forest 15.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 64.2%
X 20.6%
2 15.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 60.1%
Under 2.5 39.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Chelsea - Nottingham Forest

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.41 market consensus · line only
X 4.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.51 66.2%
Х 4.70 21.3%
П2 6.41 15.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.72 36.8%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.61 62.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.43 41.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.20 83.3%
П2 5.06 19.8%
Match center
Chelsea
W W W D
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 4:2 BrightonBrighton
21.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 West HamWest Ham
14.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Nottingham Forest
L D W
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 FulhamFulham
22.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 BrightonBrighton
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:0 LiverpulLiverpul
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points