Premier League
Premier League England
25.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - Chelsea

England Futbol
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1 : 3
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Chelsea 25 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / X 3.57 / 2 2.16
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 29.0% / X 26.8% / Chelsea 44.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 29.0%
X 26.8%
2 44.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Crystal Palace - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 3.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.26 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.34 29.9%
Х 3.60 27.8%
П2 2.22 45.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.39 29.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.35 29.9%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.66 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.55 28.2%
П2 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.33 42.9% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8% 2.37 42.2%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
Match center
Crystal Palace
L D L D L
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:2 NyukaslNyukasl
01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 FulhamFulham
28.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
2 Points
Chelsea
W L D D L
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:0 BrentfordBrentford
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 FulhamFulham
04.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
27.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Chelsea

Crystal Palace
2 matches total
Chelsea
Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
Chelsea: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 01.09 12:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (01.09 12:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Kristal Pelas
0:0
Chelsea
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Kristal Pelas
1:1
Chelsea