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Premier League England

15.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

15.03.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Crystal Palace - Leeds

England Football

Crystal Palace

0 : 0

Finished

Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Leeds March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.21 / 2 2.97
1X2 market: Crystal Palace 38.1% / X 29.7% / Leeds 32.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 38.2%

X 29.7%

2 32.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 44.7%

Under 2.5 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.03.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Crystal Palace - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.97 market consensus · line only

X 3.22 market consensus · line only

1 2.51 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.54 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.40 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.31 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.97 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.55 39.2%
X	3.28 30.5%
	3.03 33.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.45 40.8%	2.51 39.8%	2.59 38.6%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%
X	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.27 30.6%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.20 31.3%
	2.84 35.2%	2.99 33.4%	3.08 32.5%	2.90 34.5%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.93 51.8%	2.00 50.0%	1.90 52.6%	2.10 47.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	2.00 50.0%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%	1.67 59.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.50 66.7%	1.56 64.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.50 66.7%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.39 71.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%