Premier League
Premier League England
05.10.2024 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - Liverpool

England Futbol
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0 : 1
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Liverpool 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.14 / X 4.11 / 2 1.69
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 18.9% / X 23.6% / Liverpool 57.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 18.9%
X 23.6%
2 57.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 57.3%
Under 2.5 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 05.10.2024 11:30 UTC
Match center

Crystal Palace - Liverpool

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.69 market consensus · line only
X 4.11 market consensus · line only
1 5.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.14 19.5%
Х 4.11 24.3%
П2 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.31 43.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.69 59.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.27 44.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.91 25.6%
П2 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Crystal Palace
L D D D
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 EvertonEverton
21.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 Leicester
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Liverpool
W W L W
28.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:1 WolvesWolves
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:0 BournemouthBournemouth
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
01.09 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Liverpool

Crystal Palace
0 matches total
Liverpool
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history