Premier League
Premier League England
27.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - Liverpool

England Futbol
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Liverpool 27 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.21 / X 3.69 / 2 1.86
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 22.7% / X 25.9% / Liverpool 51.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 22.7%
X 25.9%
2 51.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 55.0%
Under 2.5 45.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Crystal Palace - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 4.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.97 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.30 23.3%
Х 3.71 27.0%
П2 1.89 52.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.50 22.2%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.83 26.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7%
П2 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8%
Match center
Crystal Palace
W D W D D
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 West HamWest Ham
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 SunderlandSunderland
31.08 18:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 3:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 ChelseaChelsea
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
9 Points
Liverpool
W W W W W
20.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:1 EvertonEverton
14.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:0 BurnleyBurnley
31.08 15:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:0 ArsenalArsenal
25.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 3:2 NyukaslNyukasl
15.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 4:2 BournemouthBournemouth
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Liverpool

Crystal Palace
2 matches total
Liverpool
Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Liverpool: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Liverpul 0:1 (05.10 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 25.05 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (25.05 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Kristal Pelas
1:1
Liverpul
05.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Kristal Pelas
0:1
Liverpul