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Premier League
Premier League England
14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - Manchester City

England Football
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Manchester City December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.25 / X 3.90 / 2 1.81
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 22.5% / X 24.6% / Manchester City 52.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 22.5%
X 24.6%
2 52.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 56.7%
Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Crystal Palace - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 4.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.03 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.26 23.5%
X 3.98 25.1%
1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.47 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 4.03 24.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.07 48.3%
Match center
Crystal Palace
W W L W D
07.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 FulhamFulham
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 BurnleyBurnley
30.11 12:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:0 WolvesWolves
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 BrightonBrighton
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Manchester City
W W W L W
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 SunderlandSunderland
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 5:4 FulhamFulham
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:2 LeedsLeeds
22.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
09.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 LiverpulLiverpul
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Manchester City

Crystal Palace
1 matches total
Manchester City
Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester City: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester City 2:5 (12.04 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (2:5, 12.04 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Kristal Pelas
2:5
Manchester City