Premier League
Premier League England
21.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - Manchester United

England Futbol
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0 : 0
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Manchester United 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.80 / X 3.55 / 2 2.57
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 34.7% / X 27.4% / Manchester United 37.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 34.7%
X 27.4%
2 37.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Crystal Palace - Manchester United

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.57 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.80 35.7%
Х 3.55 28.2%
П2 2.57 38.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.56 64.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.27 44.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.03 49.3%
П2 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Crystal Palace
D D
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 Leicester
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points
Manchester United
W L
14.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
01.09 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 LiverpulLiverpul
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points