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Premier League
Premier League England
20.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
20.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Crystal Palace - West Ham

England Football
Stadium Selhurst Park
Capacity 26 309
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0 : 0
Finished
West Ham
West Ham
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Crystal Palace — 40%

1 · Crystal Palace39.5%
X · draw27.8%
2 · West Ham32.7%

Model estimate: win Crystal Palace 39.5%, draw 27.8%, win West Ham 32.7%. Model favourite — Crystal Palace.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - West Ham April 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Strongest: Crystal Palace - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.34 / 2 2.79
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 37.1% / X 28.6% / West Ham 34.3%
  • Glicko: Crystal Palace 39.5% / X 27.8% / West Ham 32.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 44.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 37.1%
X 28.6%
2 34.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 50.8%
Under 2.5 49.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 27.9%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Stadium Selhurst Park (London)
Capacity 26,309

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Crystal Palace 40%
💹 Market Crystal Palace 3710%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Crystal Palace - West Ham

Crystal Palace: Win 2.38 Crystal Palace: Draw 3.20 West Ham Win: 3.10 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.91 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Crystal Palace bolshe 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov Crystal Palace menshe 1.5: 1.62 Individualnyy…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 9
Statistics 24
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
21' 21' Yellow Card | B. Johnson Crystal Palace
59' 59' Substitution 2 | Y. Pino | assist/sub out: I. Sarr Crystal Palace
59' 59' Substitution 3 | J. S. Larsen | assist/sub out: J. Mateta Saúl Coco Crystal Palace
59' 59' Substitution 4 | J. S. Larsen | assist/sub out: J. Mateta Saúl Coco Crystal Palace
75' 75' Substitution 1 | Pablo | assist/sub out: C. Wilson West Ham
78' 78' Substitution 7 | B. Johnson | assist/sub out: J. Devenny Crystal Palace
84' 84' Substitution 4 | V. Castellanos | assist/sub out: M. Kanté West Ham
90+2' 90+2' Yellow Card | E. Diouf West Ham
Metric Crystal Palace West Ham SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.73 0.61 final
Zablokirovannye udary 1 2 final
Shots off target 7 3 final
Shots on target 1 4 final
Udary vsego 9 9 final
Fouls soversheno 13 12 final
Zheltye kartochki 2 1 final
Offsides 0 2 final
Crystal Palace #1 M. Hermansen, #2 K. Walker-Peters, #4 Axel Disasi, #7 Crysencio Summerville, #11 V. Castellanos, #12 M. Diouf, #15 K. Mavropanos, #18 Mateus Fernandes, #19 Pablo Felipe, #20 J. Bowen, #28 T. Soucek
West Ham #1 D. Henderson, #2 D. Munoz, #3 Tyrick Mitchell, #5 M. Lacroix, #8 J. Lerma, #10 Y. Pino, #11 B. Johnson, #19 Will Hughes, #22 J. Larsen, #23 Jaydee Canvot, #26 Chris Richards
Player Team Metric SStats
B. Johnson West Ham football.player.assists 0
B. Johnson West Ham Dribling popytki 3
B. Johnson West Ham Edinoborstva vyigrano 8
B. Johnson West Ham Fouls soversheno 1
B. Johnson West Ham Seyvy 0
B. Johnson West Ham football.player.minutes_played 78
B. Johnson West Ham Klyuchevye pasy 13
B. Johnson West Ham Reyting (staryy) 6.5
B. Johnson West Ham Shots on target 2
B. Johnson West Ham Bloki 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Crystal Palace 40.4% 39.5% market and model agree
Draw 28.7% 27.8% draw risk
West Ham 30.9% 32.7%
xG - 1.26 : 1.12
Total 2.5 Over 44.9% - Under 55.1%
Model check - - Difference 0.02
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.5% / 27.8% / 32.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,513 / 1,464 Crystal Palace / West Ham
RD 72 / 73 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.79 market consensus · no value · model 32.7%
X 3.34 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.58 market consensus · no value · model 39.5%
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 60.5%
12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 72.2%
1X 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 67.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.61 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 44.9%
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · value +6.8% · model 55.1%
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.54 39.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.73 36.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.39 29.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.45 29.0%
2.54 39.4% 3.25 30.8% 2.82 35.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% — 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — — 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% — 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75 — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% —
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3% — —
Over 4.5 6.00 16.7% — —
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1% — —
Under 1.5 3.50 28.6% — —
Under 2.5 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1% — —
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3% — —
Match center
Crystal Palace
Founded 1861
West Ham
Founded 1895
Match center
Crystal Palace
W D W L W
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 LeedsLeeds
05.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 3:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 WolvesWolves
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
West Ham
W L D W L
10.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 4:0 WolvesWolves
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
14.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:0 FulhamFulham
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 2:5 LiverpulLiverpul
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - West Ham

Crystal Palace
1 matches total
West Ham
Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
West Ham: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kristal Pelas 2:1 (20.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 20.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Kristal Pelas
2:1
West Ham
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.