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Premier League
Premier League England
05.04.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Arsenal

England Football
Everton
Everton
1 : 1
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Arsenal April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.51 / X 3.30 / 2 1.98
  • 1X2 market: Everton 21.5% / X 29.4% / Arsenal 49.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 21.5%
X 29.4%
2 49.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 39.8%
Under 2.5 60.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Everton - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 4.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.51 22.2%
X 3.30 30.3%
1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.91 52.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.44 41.0%
Under 2.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.18 31.5%
1.39 71.9%
Match center
Everton
L D W D W
02.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
26.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 FulhamFulham
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 IpswichIpswich
05.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Arsenal
W D L W W
01.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 FulhamFulham
27.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 LiverpulLiverpul
19.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:2 BournemouthBournemouth
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:2 Leicester
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Arsenal

Everton
0 matches total
Arsenal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history