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Premier League
Premier League England
20.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Arsenal

England Football
Everton
Everton
0 : 1
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Arsenal December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.12 / X 3.95 / 2 1.59
  • 1X2 market: Everton 15.6% / X 24.2% / Arsenal 60.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 15.6%
X 24.2%
2 60.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 45.3%
Under 2.5 54.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.59 market consensus · line only
X 3.95 market consensus · line only
1 6.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.30 15.9%
X 4.07 24.6%
1.58 63.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.40 15.6% 6.40 15.6% 5.89 17.0% 5.75 17.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.40 15.6%
X 3.85 26.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7%
1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.17 85.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.38 42.0% 2.33 42.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.32 43.1%
Match center
Everton
L W W L W
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
29.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:4 NyukaslNyukasl
24.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Arsenal
W L W D W
13.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:1 WolvesWolves
06.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:0 BrentfordBrentford
30.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
23.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Arsenal

Everton
1 matches total
Arsenal
Everton: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Arsenal: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 05.04 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (05.04 11:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Everton
1:1
Arsenal