Premier League
Premier League England
13.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Aston Villa

England Futbol
Everton
Everton
0 : 0
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Aston Villa 13 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.10 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: Everton 36.6% / X 30.7% / Aston Villa 32.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 36.6%
X 30.7%
2 32.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.60 38.5%
Х 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.90 34.5%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
П1 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Everton
W W L W W
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:2 WolvesWolves
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 BrightonBrighton
18.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 LeedsLeeds
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
18.05 11:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Aston Villa
L L D L W
31.08 18:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:3 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:1 BrentfordBrentford
16.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 0:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
16.05 18:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Aston Villa

Everton
1 matches total
Aston Villa
Everton: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Aston Villa: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Aston Villa 2:3 (14.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 14.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton
2:3
Aston Villa