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Premier League
Premier League England
04.01.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
04.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Brentford

England Football
Everton
Everton
2 : 4
Finished
Brentford
Brentford

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Brentford January 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.17 / 2 2.97
  • 1X2 market: Everton 37.7% / X 30.1% / Brentford 32.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 37.6%
X 30.2%
2 32.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 43.0%
Under 2.5 57.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Brentford

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.61 38.3%
X 3.20 31.3%
3.01 33.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.50 40.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.95 33.9% 3.05 32.8% 3.07 32.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Everton
W D L L W
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:0 BurnleyBurnley
20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 ArsenalArsenal
13.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:2 ChelseaChelsea
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Brentford
D W W D L
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 4:1 BournemouthBournemouth
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 2:0 WolvesWolves
14.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brentford 1:1 LeedsLeeds
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford 0:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Brentford

Everton
0 matches total
Brentford
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history