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Premier League England

03.03.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

03.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Everton - Burnley

England Football

Everton

2 : 0

Finished

Burnley

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Burnley March 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.84 / 2 5.67
1X2 market: Everton 58.4% / X 24.8% / Burnley 16.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 58.4%

X 24.8%

2 16.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%

Over 2.5 49.1%

Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 03.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Everton - Burnley

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.69 market consensus · line only

X 3.84 market consensus · line only

1 1.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.30 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.14 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.33 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.77 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.83 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.65 60.6%
X	3.83 26.1%
	6.00 16.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%
X	3.75 26.7%	3.95 25.3%	3.98 25.1%	3.70 27.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.85 26.0%
	5.40 18.5%	5.80 17.2%	5.94 16.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.50 18.2%	5.90 17.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.88 53.2%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.93 51.8%	1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.92 52.1%	2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.20 45.5%	2.33 42.9%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.25 44.4%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.14 87.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.12 89.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.11 90.1%