Premier League
Premier League England
28.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Crystal Palace

England Futbol
Everton
Everton
2 : 1
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Crystal Palace 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.72 / X 3.35 / 2 2.77
  • 1X2 market: Everton 35.8% / X 29.1% / Crystal Palace 35.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 35.8%
X 29.1%
2 35.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.3%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Crystal Palace

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.77 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.72 36.8%
Х 3.35 29.9%
П2 2.77 36.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.99 50.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.92 52.1%
П2 1.94 51.6%
Match center
Everton
D L
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 Leicester
14.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Crystal Palace
D D D
21.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 Leicester
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Crystal Palace

Everton
0 matches total
Crystal Palace
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history