Premier League
Premier League England
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Crystal Palace

England Futbol
Everton
Everton
2 : 1
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Crystal Palace 5 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.17 / 2 2.81
  • 1X2 market: Everton 35.8% / X 30.2% / Crystal Palace 34.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 35.8%
X 30.2%
2 34.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.76 36.2%
Х 3.17 31.6%
П2 2.86 35.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.58 38.8% 2.54 39.4% 2.74 36.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
Х 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.84 35.2% 2.96 33.8% 2.89 34.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%
Match center
Everton
D L D W W
29.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 West HamWest Ham
20.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:2 WolvesWolves
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 BrightonBrighton
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Crystal Palace
W W D W D
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 West HamWest Ham
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 SunderlandSunderland
31.08 18:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 3:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Crystal Palace

Everton
1 matches total
Crystal Palace
Everton: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Crystal Palace: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Everton 2:1 (28.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 28.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
2:1
Kristal Pelas