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Premier League
Premier League England
19.04.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction
19.04.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Liverpool

England Football
Stadium Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton
Everton
1 : 2
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Liverpool — 46%

1 · Everton27.6%
X · draw26.7%
2 · Liverpool45.7%

Model estimate: win Everton 27.6%, draw 26.7%, win Liverpool 45.7%. Model favourite — Liverpool.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Liverpool April 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Strongest: Liverpool - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.14 / X 3.40 / 2 2.29
  • 1X2 market: Everton 30.3% / X 28.0% / Liverpool 41.6%
  • Glicko: Everton 27.6% / X 26.7% / Liverpool 45.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 40.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 30.4%
X 28.0%
2 41.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 44.4%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2026 13:00 UTC
Stadium Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Liverpool 46%
💹 Market Liverpool 4163%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Everton - Liverpool

Everton: Win 3.10 Everton: Draw 3.50 Liverpool Win: 2.25 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.80 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total golov Everton bolshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov Everton menshe 1.5: 1.50 Individualnyy total golov Liverpool bol…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 14
Statistics 24
Lineups 38
min Event Player Team
22' 22' Yellow Card | Jordan Pickford P. Pagis Everton
27' 27' Goal Disallowed - offside | Iliman Ndiaye Yun Seong Chung Everton
29' 29' Normal Goal | Mohamed Salah | assist/sub out: Cody Gakpo F. Lejeune Liverpool
54' 54' Normal Goal | Beto | assist/sub out: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Everton
58' 58' Substitution 1 | Giorgi Mamardashvili | assist/sub out: Freddie Woodman Liverpool
72' 72' Substitution 2 | Alexander Isak | assist/sub out: Rio Ngumoha P. Sy Liverpool
73' 73' Substitution 1 | Beto | assist/sub out: Thierno Barry Everton
80' 80' Substitution 2 | Dwight McNeil | assist/sub out: Tyrique George Lukas Steindl Everton
Metric Everton Liverpool SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.79 1.45 final
Zablokirovannye udary 1 4 final
Shots off target 5 4 final
Shots on target 4 6 final
Udary vsego 10 14 final
Fouls soversheno 8 12 final
Zheltye kartochki 2 0 final
Offsides 4 0 final
Everton #4 Virgil van Dijk, #5 I. Konate, #7 F. Wirtz, #8 Dominik Szoboszlai, #9 Alexander Isak, #11 M. Salah, #17 Curtis Jones, #18 Cody Gakpo, #25 G. Mamardashvili, #26 A. Robertson, #38 Ryan Gravenberch
Liverpool #1 J. Pickford, #6 James Tarkowski, #7 Dwight McNeil, #9 Beto, #10 I. Ndiaye, #15 J. O'Brien, #16 V. Mykolenko, #22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, #27 I. Gueye, #37 J. Garner
Player Team Metric SStats
Beto Liverpool football.player.assists 0
Beto Liverpool Dribling popytki 5
Beto Liverpool Edinoborstva vyigrano 12
Beto Liverpool football.player.goals 1
Beto Liverpool Seyvy 0
Beto Liverpool football.player.minutes_played 73
Beto Liverpool Tochnost pasov % 1
Beto Liverpool Klyuchevye pasy 11
Beto Liverpool Pasy vsego 2
Beto Liverpool Reyting (staryy) 7.2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Everton 29.9% 27.6%
Draw 26.9% 26.7% draw risk
Liverpool 43.2% 45.7% market and model agree
xG - 1.03 : 1.41
Total 2.5 Over 40.5% - Under 59.5%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.6% / 26.7% / 45.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,543 / 1,566 Everton / Liverpool
RD 72 / 73 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.29 market consensus · weak value +4.7% · model 45.7%
X 3.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.14 market consensus · no value · model 27.6%
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 72.4%
12 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%
1X 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 54.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · no value · model 40.5%
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · value +19.0% · model 59.5%
Both teams to score
No 2.19 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.10 32.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
2.22 45.1% 2.09 47.9% 2.37 42.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 — — 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% — 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.98 50.5% —
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3% — —
Over 4.5 5.50 18.2% — —
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1% — —
Under 1.5 3.70 27.0% — —
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% — —
Under 2.75 — 1.92 52.1% —
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5% — —
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7% — —
Match center
Everton
Founded 1878
Liverpool
Founded 1892
Match center
Everton
D W L W W
11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
21.03 17:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:0 ChelseaChelsea
14.03 17:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:2 NyukaslNyukasl
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Liverpool
W L D L W
11.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:0 FulhamFulham
21.03 12:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:2 BrightonBrighton
15.03 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
03.03 20:15 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:2 WolvesWolves
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 5:2 West HamWest Ham
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Liverpool

Everton
2 matches total
Liverpool
Everton: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Liverpool: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Liverpul 1:2 (20.09 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 20.09 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Everton
1:2
Liverpul
02.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton
0:1
Liverpul
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.