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Premier League
Premier League England
19.04.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Everton - Manchester City

England Football
Everton
Everton
0 : 2
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Manchester City April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.00 / X 3.70 / 2 1.97
  • 1X2 market: Everton 24.3% / X 26.3% / Manchester City 49.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 24.3%
X 26.3%
2 49.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Everton - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 4.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.00 25.0%
X 3.70 27.0%
1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.28 78.1%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.92 52.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.98 50.5%
Under 2.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.96 33.8%
1.44 69.4%
Match center
Everton
W D L D W
12.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
05.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 ArsenalArsenal
02.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
26.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 FulhamFulham
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 IpswichIpswich
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Manchester City
W D W W W
12.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 5:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
06.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 Leicester
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
20.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 WolvesWolves
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Manchester City

Everton
0 matches total
Manchester City
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history