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Premier League England

23.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

23.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Everton - Manchester United

England Football

Everton

0 : 1

Finished

Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Everton - Manchester United February 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.85 / X 3.77 / 2 1.91
1X2 market: Everton 24.8% / X 25.3% / Manchester United 50.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 24.8%

X 25.3%

2 49.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 55.3%

Under 2.5 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Everton - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.91 market consensus · line only

X 3.78 market consensus · line only

1 3.86 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.27 market consensus · line only

12 1.26 market consensus · line only

1X 1.90 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.20 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.97 25.2%
X	3.88 25.8%
	1.92 52.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.75 26.7%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%	3.90 25.6%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.94 25.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%
	1.88 53.2%	1.91 52.4%	1.96 51.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.20 45.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.12 47.2%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.22 45.1%	2.29 43.7%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.66 60.2%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.60 62.5%	1.66 60.2%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.22 82.0%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.85 54.1%	1.94 51.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%

Match center

Everton

L W D D W

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:2 Bournemouth

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 2:1 Fulham

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:1 Brighton

26.01 20:00 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:1 Leeds

18.01 16:30 UTC Premier League

Everton 1:0 Aston Villa

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

8 Points

Manchester United

D W W W W

10.02 20:15 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 West Ham

07.02 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:0 Tottenkhem

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Fulham

25.01 16:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 3:2 Arsenal

17.01 12:30 UTC Premier League

Manchester United 2:0 Manchester City

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEverton - Manchester United

Everton

1 matches total

Manchester United

Everton: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Manchester United: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Everton 1:0 (24.11 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 24.11 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

24.11 20:00 UTC

Premier League

Everton

1:0

Manchester United